October 20, 2009

Guaymuras roller coaster

Arturo Corrales
Photo: El Heraldo, Honduras

More up and down and up and down days in the Guaymuras dialogues.

As I reported Saturday, Roberto Micheletti proposed that the Supreme Court decide whether Manuel Zelaya could be restored to office, which is no change from what the government has been saying all along. Zelaya's team rejected that as "insulting" and made a counter demand that the Honduran Congress resolve the matter of his restoration.

Micheletti proposed yesterday that both the court and the congress provide reports and that the six negotiators have the final say based on those reports. While that sounds like a compromise to me, not too surprisingly, it was reported quite differently by the Zelaya's side and the international media.

Victor Meza of Zelaya's team declared the talks stagnated due to delay tactics by Roberto Micheletti and whined to the OAS to step in with a ruling when they meet on Wednesday. “We won’t return to meet until we receive a proposal we consider serious and constructive,” Meza told reporters. Zelaya declared the talks to be maliciously obstructed and similarly demanded that the OAS step in. Patty Rodas, of course, once again earlier today declared the talks dead.

(Who is being intransigent?)

In contrast, John Biehl of the OAS (who has been involved in the talks) declared that "We have not and will not lose faith in what the Hondurans are doing. They are making sincere efforts." He even said that it may get worse before it gets better, but that he is absolutely "convinced that Hondurans are able to reconcile and reconnect with the world". [Google translation]

When the OAS meets on Wednesday, we'll know whether they were really backing dialogue or whether it was only a show to promote dialogue, provided the 'right' agreement is reached.

In a press conference tonight, the Micheletti team indicated that they are still hopeful about the negotiations, but Arturo Corrales reiterated that any agreement must be within the laws and constitution of Honduras.

Corrales made a surprise visit tonight to the Brazilian Embassy at the invitation of Zelaya. He says that he had a very ample, very cordial, very fruitful discussion with his friend Mel Zelaya and that Zelaya has agreed to continue with the discussions.

Victor Meza indicated that they are now awaiting a positive, constructive, "intelligent" proposal from the other side.

Micheletti has now lifted the emergency decree but continued to accuse Mr Zelaya of trying to destabilize Honduras.

"Unfortunately, in recent days, ex-President Zelaya and his followers have promoted an agenda of insurrection in the country," a statement from the interim authorities said, according to the BBC. Zelaya called that absurd, but would be hard to deny the daily public statements by Resistance leaders Juan Barahona and Rafael Alegría, as well as Patty Rodas.

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I ran across this British Communist blog that shows that they are not happy with the performance of Zelaya or the "Resistance". They write:
"From our standpoint, it is necessary to develop a clear debate within the resistance movement, building on the discontent and arguing for no-confidence in Zelaya’s politics of compromiso.

"It must not be that the heroic resistance is completely subordinated to the top leaders’ “wiping the slate clean”, thus giving up its demands and almost totally demobilising the workers’, peasants’ and popular movement."
They also complain: "It has been weeks since the leadership of the resistance – the Frente Nacional de Resistencia – has called a real, mass action!"

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A Foreign Policy Cable article writes: Jim DeMint is ready to release his holds against two top administration Latin America appointees, the South Carolina senator told The Cable, and he predicts the State Department will soon recognize the upcoming Honduran elections as legitimate.

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